본문 내용으로 건더뛰기

KDI 경제정보센터

KDI 경제정보센터의 다양한
경제정책정보를 만나 보세요.

국제금융

The Dollar and Emerging Market Economies: Financial Vulnerabilities Meet the International Trade System
FRB 2019.10.17 원문보기
This paper shows that dollar appreciations lead to declines in GDP, investment, and credit to the private sector in emerging market economies (EMEs). These results imply that the transmission of dollar movements to EMEs occurs mainly through financial conditions rather than net exports, contrary to what would be expected from the conventional Mundell-Fleming model. Moreover, the central role of the U.S. dollar in global trade invoicing and financing - the dominant currency paradigm - and the increased integration of EMEs into international supply chains weaken the traditional trade channel. Finally, as expected if financial vulnerabilities are prominent, EMEs with higher exposure to credit denominated in dollars and lower monetary policy credibility experience greater contractions during dollar appreciations.
KDI 경제정보센터