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최신자료
Understanding North Korea’s Nuclear Possession Strategies: A Comprehensive Analysis and Outlook
통일연구원
2024.05.02
This study endeavors to forecast the strategic intentions of the North Korean regime led by Kim Jong-un in its efforts to cement its position as a nuclear arms state while navigating relationships with key global players. Specifically, it examines the capabilities that the North Korean leadership seeks to develop and the negotiation tactics it plans to employ with neighboring countries to realize its seadfast pursuit of the official recognition of a nuclear arms state. The study seeks to unravel how the regime leverages nuclear weaponary in its external dealings to ensure regime survival, and to prognosticate its future maneuvers in this regard. To achieve its objectives, the study first evaluates the Kim Jong-un regime’s interpretation of recent developments on the Korean Peninsula and in the surrounding geopolitical landscape, subsequently analyzing the diplomatic and security objectives formulated by North Korea in response to such developments. Furthermore, it delineates the specific capabilities sought by North Korea and elucidates the strategic frameworks it is crafting to attain its objectives. Drawing from a comprehensive evaluation of North Korea’s situational perceptions, capabilities, and strategies, the study discerns potential strategic inclinations that may shape the regime’s internal strategies.