본문 내용으로 건더뛰기

모바일 대메뉴명

KDI 경제정보센터

KDI 경제정보센터의 다양한
경제정책정보를 만나 보세요.

전망ㆍ동향

Activity nears pre-Covid levels but faces headwinds
NIESR 2021.12.10 원문보기
With growth slowing in the third quarter, but September stronger than expected, we now forecast economic activity to increase by 1.1 per cent in the last quarter of 2021, including month-on-month growth of 0.4 per cent in October. The end of the post-Covid bounce in consumer services has removed one source of upward momentum but goods and labour shortages have taken over as a brake on growth. Most of September’s 0.6 per cent growth came from the largely nonmarket healthcare sector. Government estimates of the present level of GDP differ. The output-based approach, as used in NIESR’s GDP Tracker, suggests GDP in the third quarter of 2021 was 1 per cent below its pre-Covid level, while the expenditure approach suggests the shortfall is 2 per cent.[1] Using the output-based measure we expect monthly GDP to return to its pre-Covid February 2020 level in November this year.
KDI 경제정보센터