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A new way to measure the drivers of consumer inflation expectations
Brookings
2024.04.12
Understanding how households form their inflation expectations is of critical interest to central bankers, who often try to influence expectations through their monetary policy actions and communications. Inflation expectations play an important role in consumer and firm decision-making and in inflation dynamics. The Federal Reserve, like many other central banks, conducts and monitors a variety of expectations surveys, including the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE). This post will describe how we use the SCE data in a novel way to gain insights into the drivers of consumer inflation expectations.