최신자료
OLS Limit Theory for Drifting Sequences of Parameters on the Explosive Side of Unity
A limit theory is developed for the least squares estimator for mildly and purely explosive autoregressions under drifting sequences of parameters with autoregressive roots ρn satisfying
ρn → ρ ∈ (―∞, ―1] ∪ [1, ∞) and n (|ρn| ―1) → ∞.
Drifting sequences of innovations and initial conditions are also considered. A standard specification of a short memory linear process for the autoregressive innovations is extended to a triangular array formulation both for the deterministic weights and for the primitive innovations of the linear process, which are allowed to be heteroskedastic L1-mixingales. The paper provides conditions that guarantee the validity of Cauchy limit distribution for the OLS estimator and standard Gaussian limit distribution for the t-statistic under this extended explosive and mildly explosive framework.
ρn → ρ ∈ (―∞, ―1] ∪ [1, ∞) and n (|ρn| ―1) → ∞.
Drifting sequences of innovations and initial conditions are also considered. A standard specification of a short memory linear process for the autoregressive innovations is extended to a triangular array formulation both for the deterministic weights and for the primitive innovations of the linear process, which are allowed to be heteroskedastic L1-mixingales. The paper provides conditions that guarantee the validity of Cauchy limit distribution for the OLS estimator and standard Gaussian limit distribution for the t-statistic under this extended explosive and mildly explosive framework.
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