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Long-term forecast of future inflows and outflows of the EU Budget (2026-2034)
This report projects the inflows and outflows of the EU budget in accordance with Article 253(1)(c) of the Financial Regulationii. This fifthiii edition forecasts the revenue and expenditure stemming from the multiannual financial framework (MFF) 2021-2027iv, NextGenerationEUv and for 2028-2034vi based on the Commission proposal for the next MFFvii.
The forecast differentiates between the reste-？-liquider (RAL) for 2026-2030, based on the legislation currently in force and the Commission’s proposal for 2028-2034 for the MFF and the Own Resources Decision1. As regards revenue, the forecast until 2027 is based on the revenue system of the current Own Resources Decisionviii. The revenue projections also consider the Agreement on the withdrawal of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Communityix (‘Withdrawal Agreement’).
The estimates for payments in 2026 and 2027 take into account the revised expenditure ceilings (technical adjustment of the MFF for 2026)x and the commitment appropriations included in the financial programming accompanying the draft budget for 2026xi, which incorporates the programme-specific adjustments under Article 5 of the MFF Regulationxii (MFFR)xiii as well as re-use of decommitments under Article 15(3)of the Financial Regulation. The mid-term revision of the MFF 2021-2027 is included. Notably the net reinforcement of the expenditure ceiling for commitments of EUR 3.4 billion, together with changes to the overall allocations under Article 5 MFFR and Article15(3) of the Financial Regulationxiv as well as reinforcements to special instruments. As regards the payment ceilings, the MFF mid-term revision makes it possible to adjust the 2026 ceiling by the amount equivalent to amounts unused in 2025 if necessary for financial needs in order to avoid the risk of backlogs.
The mid-term review of cohesion policy offers several flexibilities and financial incen
The forecast differentiates between the reste-？-liquider (RAL) for 2026-2030, based on the legislation currently in force and the Commission’s proposal for 2028-2034 for the MFF and the Own Resources Decision1. As regards revenue, the forecast until 2027 is based on the revenue system of the current Own Resources Decisionviii. The revenue projections also consider the Agreement on the withdrawal of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Communityix (‘Withdrawal Agreement’).
The estimates for payments in 2026 and 2027 take into account the revised expenditure ceilings (technical adjustment of the MFF for 2026)x and the commitment appropriations included in the financial programming accompanying the draft budget for 2026xi, which incorporates the programme-specific adjustments under Article 5 of the MFF Regulationxii (MFFR)xiii as well as re-use of decommitments under Article 15(3)of the Financial Regulation. The mid-term revision of the MFF 2021-2027 is included. Notably the net reinforcement of the expenditure ceiling for commitments of EUR 3.4 billion, together with changes to the overall allocations under Article 5 MFFR and Article15(3) of the Financial Regulationxiv as well as reinforcements to special instruments. As regards the payment ceilings, the MFF mid-term revision makes it possible to adjust the 2026 ceiling by the amount equivalent to amounts unused in 2025 if necessary for financial needs in order to avoid the risk of backlogs.
The mid-term review of cohesion policy offers several flexibilities and financial incen
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