본문 내용으로 건더뛰기

KDI 경제교육·정보센터

ENG
  • 경제배움
  • Economic

    Information

    and Education

    Center

최신자료
The Gaza Cease-Fire Deal Is Hardly the Total Victory Netanyahu Promised
RAND
2025.11.18
Questions linger about whether the cease-fire between Israel and Hamas will hold, and how―or if―the parties will move on to the far thornier issues in the U.S.-sponsored plan that led to it. Still, it‘s clear that this breakthrough signals the beginning of the end.

That is, it is clear to most except the government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, which is minimizing the deal‘s scope while selling it as a diplomatic, moral, and security triumph: Israel keeps troops in most of Gaza even after freeing the hostages, with no firm timeline for further withdrawal.

The government voted to approve the first phase of the agreement―the hostage and prisoner exchange, the military pullback in Gaza, increased humanitarian aid to the strip, and the cease-fire. It did not address the harder issues: the full withdrawal to the security perimeter, Gaza‘s governance and “a credible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood,” as later phases of the deal called for.

Journalists close to Netanyahu were blunt: “There‘s no phase two. That‘s clear to everyone, right?” Amit Segal wrote on social media. “What we have now is a hostage deal, and a cease-fire while talks continue in good faith.” The working assumption in Jerusalem, it seems, is that while full-scale combat won‘t resume, the Israeli military may keep striking wherever it detects threats.