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As President Trump loses support, Republican prospects in the 2026 midterms grow darker
As Donald Trump began his second term in Jan. 2025, he enjoyed broad-based support. More than half of all Americans approved of his presidency, while only 44% disapproved, a figure significantly lower than the 48% who had voted for Kamala Harris. Post-election surveys confirmed that large numbers of Hispanics, young adults, and independents had rallied to his cause, suggesting that a structural alignment in American politics might be underway.
Today, the picture looks different. Approval of Trump’s presidency has fallen by 8 points, to 42.4%, while disapproval has risen by 10 points, to 54.9%. The decline seems to be accelerating; nearly half of this 12-point approval gap has opened up just since mid-October. Moreover, the groups that shifted toward Trump during the 2024 election―especially Hispanics, independents, and young adults―are expressing their disappointment with his performance.
Today, the picture looks different. Approval of Trump’s presidency has fallen by 8 points, to 42.4%, while disapproval has risen by 10 points, to 54.9%. The decline seems to be accelerating; nearly half of this 12-point approval gap has opened up just since mid-October. Moreover, the groups that shifted toward Trump during the 2024 election―especially Hispanics, independents, and young adults―are expressing their disappointment with his performance.
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