Economic Bulletin | KDI 경제교육·정보센터

KDI 경제교육·정보센터

Economic Information and Education Center

Economic Trends

Current Economic Trends

Overview Manufacturing, services and retail sales rose in June, as well as construction investment. Facility investment slowed. Jobs continued an upward trajectory in July and consumer price inflation speeded up. Industrial production rose 1.6 percent from the previous month in June as mining and manufacturing (up 2.2%, m-o-m and up 11.9%, y-o-y) improved, as well as services (up 1.6%, m-o-m and up 4.9%, y-o-y). Compared with a year ago, industrial production rose 6.7 percent. Retail sales (up 1.4%, m-o-m and up 1.6%, y-o-y) and construction investment (up 2.0%, m-o-m and down 3.1%, y-o-y) rose in June, and facility investment slowed somewhat (down 0.2%, m-o-m and up 10.0%, y-o-y). Exports went up 29.6 percent year-on-year in July backed by strong semiconductors, petrochemicals and other major products. Average daily exports, an indicator calculated according to the days worked, rose 32.2 percent from a year ago (US $1.71 billion, July 2020 US $2.26 billion, July 2021). The consumer sentiment index (CSI) fell 7.1 points in July to 103.2. The business sentiment index (BSI) for the manufacturing sector declined 1 point to 97, and the BSI outlook for August dropped 7 points to 92. The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index for June rose 0.1 points to 101.4, and the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index increased 0.3 points to 104.4. The economy added 542,000 jobs year-on-year in July and the unemployment rate fell 0.8 percentage points from a year ago to 3.2 percent. Consumer prices rose 2.6 percent year-on-year in July due to high prices of fresh food and oil products. Core inflation rose 1.7 percent. Both stock prices and Korea Treasury yields fell in July as risk appetite waned amid virus resurgence. The won weakened. Housing prices continued to rise in July (up 0.79% up 0.85%, m-o-m), as well as Jeonse (lumpsum deposits with no monthly payments) prices (up 0.45% up 0.59%, m-o-m). Although the economy had showed solid recovery, exports picking up and employment improving, it now has to deal with uncertainties arising from the recent virus resurgence which has swung domestic consumption, particularly in the close-contact service sector. Major economies have been recovering, but there are uncertainties over the spread of the delta variant, as well as over the impact of inflation. The government will strengthen risk management, including keeping the disease under control, to help the economy maintain recovery momentum, as well as will work for prices to stay stable and to properly support low-income households. * For further details, please refer to the attached file

Sep 2021