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A New Age of Nations: Power and Advantage in the AI Era
- By drawing connections between artificial intelligence (AI) and national power, the author of this paper proposes a strategy that the United States can begin assembling to thrive in a new era of competition. The author’s analysis begins with an argument that the world stands on the cusp of a defining technological revolution: the emergence of AI as (potentially) by far the most wide-ranging and influential general-purpose technology in human history. The resulting changes will play a major role in determining national fates and reshuffling the deck of global power.
- Many studies and strategy documents have examined one aspect of this strategic challenge: the requirements for U.S. technological leadership, such as promoting world-leading AI models and developing the necessary infrastructure and technologies to power AI advances. Yet a rich historical literature makes it clear that, whatever technological breakthroughs such advances might achieve, the more-essential underlying qualities of nations are often decisive in shaping national power during such technological transitions.
- The author’s core thesis is that the United States needs to instead begin thinking much more seriously about AI as a social phenomenon and discover the competitive implications of that perspective. Countries that lead the new era will not merely have the best AI models; they will take the necessary steps to make their societies more competitive. In the end, the competitive challenge of AI is primarily social, not technological.
- Many studies and strategy documents have examined one aspect of this strategic challenge: the requirements for U.S. technological leadership, such as promoting world-leading AI models and developing the necessary infrastructure and technologies to power AI advances. Yet a rich historical literature makes it clear that, whatever technological breakthroughs such advances might achieve, the more-essential underlying qualities of nations are often decisive in shaping national power during such technological transitions.
- The author’s core thesis is that the United States needs to instead begin thinking much more seriously about AI as a social phenomenon and discover the competitive implications of that perspective. Countries that lead the new era will not merely have the best AI models; they will take the necessary steps to make their societies more competitive. In the end, the competitive challenge of AI is primarily social, not technological.
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