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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2026 Issue 1
The conflict in the Middle East has become the dominant force shaping the global economic outlook. Energy prices and the prices of other key agricultural and industrial inputs produced in the Persian Gulf economies have soared since February as production and exports have been curtailed. This has been pushing up inflation, putting pressure on real incomes and economic growth. GDP growth projections have been revised down, while inflation has been revised up.
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