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Brexit and the UK Economy Ten Years On: Stocktake and Future Options
- A decade has passed since the vote for the United Kingdom to leave the European Union. In the intervening year global geopolitics has shifted considerably, but underlying structural challenges remain quite similar. So, what key take aways can be drawn from the experience?
- Perhaps one of the clearest conclusion from Brexit is it has not produced an economic collapse to the extent which some had forecast, prior to the vote. GDP growth in the UK hasn’t performed any worse than the EU average, and, on the whole, London has retained its position as a major global financial centre.
- On the other hand, there have been clear negative impacts on the UK’s trade with the European Union, which has not fully recovered since Brexit took effect. Instead, the economic impacts of Brexit have been much slower and cumulative.
- Ten years after the vote, the UK still faces the same structural problems: weak productivity growth and an ageing population ？ as does much of Europe. It also faces the same basic trade-off: greater political autonomy and national sovereignty, but at the cost of higher trade costs and weaker economic growth.
- Perhaps one of the clearest conclusion from Brexit is it has not produced an economic collapse to the extent which some had forecast, prior to the vote. GDP growth in the UK hasn’t performed any worse than the EU average, and, on the whole, London has retained its position as a major global financial centre.
- On the other hand, there have been clear negative impacts on the UK’s trade with the European Union, which has not fully recovered since Brexit took effect. Instead, the economic impacts of Brexit have been much slower and cumulative.
- Ten years after the vote, the UK still faces the same structural problems: weak productivity growth and an ageing population ？ as does much of Europe. It also faces the same basic trade-off: greater political autonomy and national sovereignty, but at the cost of higher trade costs and weaker economic growth.
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