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Prosecutorial Reform and Local Crime Rates
Many communities across the United States have elected reform-minded prosecu tors who seek to safely reduce the reach and burden of the criminal justice system. In this paper, we use variation in the timing of when these prosecutors took office across jurisdictions both to empirically characterize their effects on case outcomes and to es timate downstream effects on local reported crime rates and drug mortality rates. We find that after a reform prosecutor takes office there are large and statistically signifi cant decreases in charging and conviction rates, with larger decreases for misdemeanor offenses than felony offenses and for drug offenses than other offense types. We find few to no downstream effects on local crime rates or drug mortality rates. These findings suggest that the types of policies being implemented by reform prosecutors appear to be decreasing the footprint of the criminal justice system without large adverse effects on public safety.
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